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In its May Supply and Demand Report, Agriculture and Food Canada (AAFC) released production forecasts for the 2026/27 MY and raised canola stock estimates for the 2025/26 MY and 2026/27 MY.   Wheat production in Canada in the 2026/27 MY is expected to decrease from 40 to 35 million tonnes compared to the previous season, and its exports from 28.8 to 28.55 million tonnes, as a result of which ending stocks will decrease from 7.35 to 5.85 million tonnes.   Barley production...

European Commission experts have lowered their forecast for EU soft wheat production in the 2026/27 marketing year from 127.3 to 126.9 million tonnes compared to their April estimates, down from 135 million tonnes harvested in the previous season, Reuters reports. At the same time, they left the wheat export forecast at the previous month's level of 29.65 million tonnes.   The corn production forecast was also lowered from 61.2 to 60.35 million tons, and barley from 52.9 to 51.75...

According to the State Statistics Service, as of May 1, 2026, stocks of grain and leguminous crops in Ukraine amounted to 12.7 million tons, which was 4.8 million tons higher than the corresponding figure last year.   Thus, compared to last year, grain stocks at agricultural enterprises increased by 52.8% to 8.1 million tons, and at enterprises engaged in processing and storage - by 74.5% to 4.6 million tons.   By crop, stocks increased compared to last year: wheat...

The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Purchase prices in Ukraine  CPT terminal, UAH EXW elevators, UAH CPT processor, UAH FCA, UAH FCA, $ CPT terminal, $ FOB, $ DAF, $ CIF, $ Wheat mill offals6100 ↓ 250177Mustard seeds35000Peas1175011300White kidney beans40000Coriander32000Corn1139097919500 ↑ 60226214Soybean hulls granulated150Soybean cake3408000340Sunflower oil...

Analysts' forecasts regarding the continuation of the war with Iran, as a result of which oil prices will remain at around $100/barrel by the end of the year, are increasing the demand for biofuels, and, accordingly, for new crop rapeseed, which is leading to an increase in prices. Forecasts of a slight decline in rapeseed yields in the EU and Canada support speculative demand. Against this background, August rapeseed futures on the Paris exchange rose to a season-high of €528.5/t...

In Ukraine, demand for sunflower remains quite high, which supports purchase prices, but the increase in raw material prices against the background of stable prices for sunflower oil reduces processing margins, so some plants are stopping work in anticipation of the rapeseed processing season.   During the past week, purchase prices for sunflower (with 50% oil content) in Ukraine remained at the level of 31,300-33,500 UAH/t or 630-660 $/t excluding VAT, however, a strange situation...

According to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy, as of May 25, 5.637 million hectares of area were sown with grain and leguminous crops in Ukraine (or 94% of the planned 6.3 million hectares), and 6.266 million hectares (or 87% of the planned 7.238 million hectares) of area were sown with industrial crops.   In particular, on the specified date the following were sown: corn – 4.156 million hectares (94% of the plan), barley - 709.9 thousand hectares (94%), peas - 258.2...

The sharp decline in oil prices is reducing demand for vegetable oils used to produce biofuels, which is increasing competition for buyers among oil sellers.   July Brent crude futures fell 11.6% to $99.5/barrel during the week (+2.5% for the month) on expectations of signing a peace agreement and unblocking oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz, as well as information that in recent days Iran has allowed 33 ships to leave the strait, despite US strikes on an anti-aircraft missile...