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Strategie Grains experts have increased the forecast for rapeseed production in the EU in 2025
04.02.2025
Against the backdrop of favorable weather and an increase in sowing areas, Strategie Grains experts have increased the forecast for rapeseed production in the EU in 2025/26 MY from 18.74 to 19 million tons compared to previous estimates, which will exceed the 2024/25 MY figure by 13%. The crop estimate has been increased for the main producing countries, in particular Romania and Poland. The forecast for ending rapeseed stocks in the 2024/25 season has been increased due to reduced demand and a...
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After a short-term increase in demand, sunflower prices in Ukraine fell again
04.02.2025
As we predicted earlier , after renewing the seasonal high, sunflower prices in Ukraine fell again under the pressure of the strengthening hryvnia exchange rate and falling prices for crude oil, palm oil, and soybean oil. Due to difficulties with the sale of sunflower oil this year, the rate of sunflower processing in Ukraine remains at a record low. Some plants are standing by and stockpiling raw materials, hoping that oil prices will rise in the second half of the...
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Wheat prices in Ukraine continue to rise amid supply shortage
04.02.2025
Against the backdrop of a lack of precipitation and forecasts of dry and frosty weather in Ukraine for the next 7-10 days, farmers continue to hold back wheat sales while awaiting information on the condition of winter crops and the prospects for the future harvest. Following the increase in prices for Russian and European wheat, export prices for wheat in the Black Sea ports of Ukraine increased by $1-3/t per week, in particular: for food wheat - by $2-4/t to $222-225/t or...
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Purchase prices for grains in Ukraine on February 3, 2025
03.02.2025
The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Purchase prices in Ukraine CPT terminal, UAH EXW elevators, UAH CPT processor, UAH FCA, UAH CPT terminal, $ DAF, $ CIF, $ Wheat mill offals 5750 Mustard seeds 25000 25000 Peas 15000 ↑ 1500 350 Coriander 23000 Corn 9979 8983 9300 8652 209 3176 ↓...
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Trump started trade wars and imposed sanctions against allies and neighbors, but for some reason they did not affect Russia.
03.02.2025
President Trump, as promised, has imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico starting February 1 and raised the tariff on goods from China from 25% to 35%. At the same time, to reduce the jump in gasoline prices in the United States, which receives 17% of its oil and petroleum products from Canada, the tariff on these products will be only 10%. Trump explains this step as a fight against illegal migration and drug smuggling from the mentioned countries. Mexico, Canada,...
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Trend&Hedge Club discussed factors that will affect wheat and corn prices in 2025
02.02.2025
At the traditional Trend&Hedge Club meeting, participants discussed the factors that will affect the corn and wheat markets in 2025, as well as shared their expectations. The bullish team (those who believe that prices will go up) included Arista Trade trader Mykhailo Voronych and Oleksandr Terziev from Kernel-Trade, while the bearish team (those who expect prices to go down) included Viktoria Blazhko, Head of Editorial Content and Analytics at ASAP Agri, and Ihor Vovchenko, Director of...
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The real cost of 1 hectare of agricultural land in Ukraine has already exceeded 1.5-2.5 thousand dollars
02.02.2025
The agricultural land market, which has been operational in Ukraine since July 1, 2021, is currently one of the most active in the country. Dzerkalo Tyzhnia tells in more detail about the dynamics of its development. Figure 1 shows data on the number of transactions concluded over the entire period of the land market. It is worth considering that the data for 2021 is provided only for the second half of the year, and the information for 2022 is incomplete,...
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Eurostat has published a report on the value of agricultural land in the EU in 2023
02.02.2025
According to the latest Eurostat report, in 2023 the average cost of 1 hectare of arable land in the European Union was 11,791 euros, and the average rental price of 1 hectare of arable land or pasture was 173 euros. The report takes into account data provided by 22 EU countries. The most expensive agricultural land was in the following countries: Malta – €283,039/ha, Netherlands – €91,154/ha, Luxembourg – 42,540 €/ha. The...