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Increased corn harvest forecasts in Ukraine put pressure on new crop prices
06.08.2025
The Foreign Service Attaché of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has raised its forecast for the 2025/26 corn harvest in Ukraine to 34 million tons, which significantly exceeds the USDA's July estimate (30.5 million tons), based on data from the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food of Ukraine on planted areas and yields. The USDA representative also raised the forecast for corn exports from Ukraine to 28.5 million tons, which would exceed the USDA's previous...
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Falling world rice prices to 8-year low will limit wheat price growth
06.08.2025
According to the World Bank (WB), the price of benchmark Thai rice with a broken grain content of up to 5% fell by 6.4% in July to an 8-year low of $392/t after major exporting countries (including India) lifted restrictions on export sales. Other Thai rice varieties also fell in price. For example, the cost of rice with a broken grain content of up to 25% decreased by 6.4% to $382/t, and milled white rice – by 4.4% to $376/t, which are the lowest figures since autumn...
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Global nitrogen fertilizer prices have risen to almost a 3-year high, but may soon fall again
06.08.2025
According to the World Bank (WB), as a result of the European Union's restrictions on fertilizer imports, global prices for the nitrogen fertilizer urea increased by 18% in July to $496/t, which is the highest level since December 2022, when the price reached $519.38/t. From July 1, in addition to the current 6.5% duty on fertilizer imports from the Russian Federation, the European Union introduced an additional tariff of €40/t for nitrogen fertilizers and €45/t for...
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Purchase prices for grains in Ukraine on August 5, 2025
05.08.2025
The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF The Ukrainian market remains under pressure from low grain supply, as farmers are actively harvesting and are in no hurry to sell it. Prices for food wheat are increasing, increasing the discount relative to feed wheat to 600-800 UAH/t, with the price additionally discounted in the presence of "smut" (bleeding) grains. Rapeseed prices have...
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Rapeseed prices in Ukraine remain under pressure from declining world prices and uncertainty about tariffs
05.08.2025
The acceleration of rapeseed harvesting increased supply on the domestic market, so processors left their prices unchanged, and exporters even slightly reduced prices due to uncertainty about the timing of the entry into force of the law on 10% export duties. The bill on the introduction of a 10% export duty on rapeseed and soybeans has not yet been signed by the President, so traders have reduced hryvnia prices for rapeseed to UAH 23,000–24,500/t with delivery to the port....
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India increased vegetable oil imports by 1.5% in July, primarily soybean, while palm oil supplies declined, adding to pressure on prices.
05.08.2025
According to Reuters, in July, India increased its imports of edible oils by 1.5% compared to June to the highest level since November 2024 - 1.53 million tons, with soybean oil imports rising the most - by 38% to a 3-year high of 495 thousand tons. At the same time, palm oil imports decreased by 10% to 858 thousand tons, and sunflower oil - by 7% to 201 thousand tons. Palm oil shipments fell in July as import contracts were cancelled after higher prices, while soybean oil...
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World wheat prices are falling, but demand for food wheat is growing in Ukraine
05.08.2025
Reduced rainfall in Ukraine has helped speed up grain harvests and increase export supplies, which has calmed markets somewhat. But prolonged rains have worsened wheat quality, leading to a drop in feed wheat prices and a rise in food prices. World wheat prices fell slightly during the week, although demand for cheap American wheat increased. In Ukraine, export purchase prices for wheat with delivery to Black Sea ports increased for food wheat by 100-200 UAH/t to...
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Purchase prices for grains in Ukraine on August 4, 2025
04.08.2025
The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Purchase prices in Ukraine CPT terminal, UAH EXW elevators, UAH CPT processor, UAH FCA, UAH FCA, $ CPT terminal, $ FOB, $ DAF, $ CIF, $ Wheat mill offals 6000 ↓ 375 Mustard seeds 27000 Peas13844 13392 ↓ 18 12800 273 250 Buckwheat 14500 370 Rye 10000 ...