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Increased EU rapeseed harvest forecast puts pressure on quotes
21.07.2025
Oil World experts have increased the forecast for the rapeseed harvest in the EU in 2025 by 0.7 million tons compared to June estimates, to 20 million tons, which will significantly exceed the figure for 2024 (17 million tons). For example, for Romania, the rapeseed production forecast has been increased to 2.65 million tonnes (1.29 million tonnes in 2024) due to the expansion of the sown area by over 60% to 0.87 million hectares. The forecast has also been increased for France (to...
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Harvesting in Ukraine is half as slow as last year, and yields are still lower
21.07.2025
Due to precipitation and late ripening dates, grain harvesting in Ukraine is half as slow as last year. As of July 18, 2025, 7.23 million tons of early grain and leguminous crops were threshed from 2.35 million hectares in Ukraine with an average yield of 3.07 tons/hectare, while as of July 20, 2024, 15.7 million tons of grain were harvested from 4.4 million hectares with a yield of 3.57 tons/hectare. Yes, on the specified date, the following was threshed: wheat — 4.67...
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Purchase prices for grains in Ukraine on July 18, 2025
18.07.2025
The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Long-awaited precipitation has arrived in Eastern Europe and western Ukraine, improving the condition of corn, soybean, and sunflower crops. In eastern and southern Ukraine, drought continues to reduce the potential for sunflower harvests. In this regard, experts are lowering the estimate of the harvest in Ukraine. At the same time, harvests...
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Weather conditions contribute to better harvests in the USA, Canada, Europe and China - local risks remain in Ukraine and the Russian Federation
18.07.2025
Agroclimatic conditions in July continue to play a key role in shaping the grain and oilseed harvest. Overall, the situation in leading producing countries is improving, but weather risks remain in some regions. USA: Ideal conditions for corn, soybeans and spring wheat In the Corn Belt states — Iowa, Illinois, Nebraska — favorable conditions prevail for the development of corn, soybeans, and spring wheat, which are in the flowering phase. Next week, new waves of...
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Sunflower harvest forecasts: Drought hits Ukraine, while Russia and Kazakhstan expect production to increase
18.07.2025
Weather conditions significantly affect the sunflower harvest in the Black Sea region in the 2025/26 MY. Due to dry weather in Ukraine, analysts are revising estimates downward, while the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan are preparing for increased production. Ukraine: Drought threat lowers harvest expectations Extreme heat and a lack of precipitation in July, especially during the flowering stage of the crop, forced the analytical agency ASAP Agri to lower its forecast for the...
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IGC expects record grain consumption, reducing stocks despite high production
18.07.2025
The International Grains Council (IGC) revised its global grain market outlook for the 2025/26 marketing year in a July report. While the forecast for global production remained at a record level, analysts raised their consumption estimates, resulting in a reduction in expected carryover stocks. Grain production is expected at 2,376 million tonnes, 1 million tonnes less than in the June report, but 2.6% higher than in the 2024/25 MY (2,316 million tonnes). The adjustment is due to...
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Purchase prices for grains in Ukraine on July 17, 2025
17.07.2025
The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Rapeseed and soybean prices in hryvnia are decreasing after the introduction of a 10% duty, but currency prices may increase. Wheat prices continue to rise due to supply shortages and exporter activity. Argentina is increasing supplies of sunflower oil and meal, which increases competition with Ukrainian...
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Demand for wheat is growing in Ukraine amid limited supply and active exports
17.07.2025
Delayed harvest and poor yields in the south continue to support the market. Export prices for wheat at ports are rising as farmers hold back sales in anticipation of peak prices. Since the beginning of the week, purchase prices for food wheat have increased by $2–3/t — to UAH 10,300–10,400/t ($215–219/t) . Prices for feed wheat — by $4–5/t — to UAH 10,000–10,100/t ($210–214/t) . Due to the high quality of the harvested wheat,...