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The speculative rise in oil prices has intensified in anticipation of an escalation with Iran, which supplies 2% of global oil production or 2 million barrels per day. This supports vegetable oil prices, which were already rising amid restrictions on sunflower oil supplies from Ukraine.   March Brent crude futures rose another 3.8% to $67.5/barrel (+9.8% month-on-month) to their highest level since late September in anticipation of the US operation against Iran, as an aircraft...

In Ukraine, domestic soybean prices have risen sharply amid low supply from producers and the refusal of some processors to purchase sunflower, which has risen significantly in price.   During the week, processors increased purchase prices for GMO soybeans by UAH 1,000-1,200/t to UAH 18,600-19,700/t with delivery to the plant, although export purchase prices for GMO soybeans with delivery to Black Sea ports remained at $420-425/t or UAH 18,600-19,000/t.   At the same time,...

In the first forecast for 2026, COCERAL experts estimated the production of grains and oilseeds in the EU and the UK at 296.7 million tons compared to 306.6 million tons in 2025. Recall that COCERAL represents the interests of traders in grains, oilseeds, rice, legumes, vegetable fats and oils, in particular olive oil, feed and agricultural products.   Wheat production (excluding durum) is forecast to decline from 147.5 million tonnes in 2025 to 143.9 million tonnes, although recent...

As of January 1, the cattle population in Ukraine decreased by 11.4% compared to the corresponding figure last year to 1.804 million heads, in particular cows - by 13.4% to 1.022 million heads, according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine.   While the number of cattle in households decreased by 22.9% to 856.4 thousand heads, in agricultural enterprises it increased by 2.4% to 947.7 thousand heads. Also, according to the State Statistics Service, as of January 1, the pig...

The weighted average purchase price of grains and oilseeds in Ukraine on CPT terminals, EXW elevators, CPT processors, FCA, CPT dollar, FOB, DAF, CIF Purchase prices in Ukraine  CPT terminal, UAH EXW elevators, UAH CPT processor, UAH FCA, UAH FCA, $ CPT terminal, $ DAF, $ CIF, $ Wheat mill offals6000Mustard seeds35000Buckwheat2500021500Coriander29250Corn9917871285008200 ↑ 117207192239Soybean hulls granulated150Soybean meal17800320Sunflower oil cake190Sunflower...

Oilseed supplies from Ukraine to the EU decreased by 24%, in particular rapeseed - by 41% and sunflower - by 23%, and oilseed meals - by 11%, in particular sunflower - by 41%. Ukraine's share among oilseed meal suppliers to the EU is 55.3% or 1.15 million tons, oilseed meals - 22.6% or 174.4 thousand tons (while Argentina's 64.4%), in particular sunflower meal - 13% (Canada's 77.3%).   Supplies of vegetable oils decreased by 5%, but it was Ukraine that provided 92.3% of...

In the first half of the 2025/26 marketing year, Ukraine significantly increased its rapeseed meal exports to foreign markets. In the period from July to December, exports reached about 340 thousand tons, which is 70% higher than in the same period last season. Thus, the current result became the second largest in history for the first half of the season, second only to the 2023/24 MY, when exports reached 374 thousand tons.   The key factor behind the growth was the intensification...

A severe storm with frost and snowfall over the weekend covered much of the United States, so analysts expected a speculative increase in wheat quotes on Monday. But the brevity of the frost and a significant layer of snow that covered the crops before the frost made the risks of crop damage minimal, so the markets hardly reacted to the change in weather.   The pace of wheat exports from the USA for January 16-22 decreased by 12% compared to the previous week to 351 thousand tons,...