The sharp rise in prices for fodder in a stable in meat prices reduces the demand for fodder

2020-12-10 12:03:05
Machine translation
The sharp rise in prices for fodder in a stable in meat prices reduces the demand for fodder

the Rapid growth of prices for corn, soybean, and sunflower meal by 30-60% over the past three months has reduced the profitability of livestock production, since meat prices remain stable due to declining revenues as a result of the pandemic.

 

World pork futures recovered to dekorativnogo level 0,66 $/lb 1.45 $/kg, however, significantly inferior to the level of 2018-19, when as a result of ASF in China prices exceed 0,8 $/lb or 1,76 $/kg.

 

Recovery of pigs in China and a record import of pork by 2020 accelerates the decline in pork prices in the country.

 

Due to the decline in pork prices, which is a key element of the inflation of the consumer basket, for the first time since 2009, consumer price inflation in China was negative and amounted in November -0.5% in comparison with the forecast of 0%. As a result of falling food prices, consumer inflation in the country reduced for several months.

 

the Main suppliers of meat to China are USA and Brazil. But against the backdrop of reduced demand and cost of feed poultry farmers of Brazil have suffered losses as a result of active export and enhance domestic demand during the year, the price of maize in the country increased by 70%, and for soybean – by more than 100%. You may have to deal with the situation the country will be forced to reduce the number of chickens.

 

China is the biggest buyer of us poultry and for 9 months of 2020 has acquired in the United States of poultry products for 2.5 billion $.

 

pork Exports from the United States, particularly China, is at a record pace, but in the second half of the year it began to decrease. Also this year, reduced exports of beef.

 

In Ukraine, purchasing prices for pork for almost a year have not changed and are 42-44 UAH/t in live weight, while the feed price increased by 30-60%.

 

Therefore, the representatives of the Association of poultry farmers, pig producers and Mormoiron of Ukraine appealed to the Cabinet and the national security Council with a request to take measures to ensure that these industries furanone cultures, which proposed to limit the export of corn and charge to Agrarian Fund to carry out purchase of the necessary quantities of corn, as well as to provide state guarantees for loans for the purchase of adequate supplies of maize.

 

"the rising cost of feed, which share in the cost of animal production is 65-70%, reduced profitability of production, which for poultry is now -12%, eggs - -17%, pork - -3%. As a result, during October – November the number of poultry decreased by 10% and continue to decrease at the beginning of 2021 along with a number of swine. In poultry, the reduction of livestock is the first time for the last 7 years", - reported in circulation.

 

the Decrease in domestic demand from processors has led to lower prices for sunflower meal since the beginning of December by 14% and a slight reduction in price of soybean meal.

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