An increase in the forecast of wheat exports from France to increase pressure on prices black sea grain

2020-02-13 12:03:59
Machine translation
An increase in the forecast of wheat exports from France to increase pressure on prices black sea grain

Experts state French Agency FranceAgrimer several months increase the forecasts of export wheat from the country in 2019/20 Mr. Yesterday, they raised it in comparison with estimates of January for a further 20 thousand tons to 20,742 million tons, which is 20.9% higher than the figure recorded 2018/19 Mr.


the Forecast of exports to the EU decreased by 180 thousand tons to 8,018 million tons, which is 8.8% higher than the previous season. At the same time wheat exports to third countries increased significantly. So in comparison with the assessment of January it increased by 200 thousand tons to 12.6 million tons, which is 30.3% higher than the figure recorded 2019/20 Mr and close to the record 12,623 million tons in 2015/16.



  • the Expected intensification of exports and the weakening of the Euro against the dollar to 2-year low kept prices from falling, as the March futures for milling wheat on MATIF remained at the level of 192.5 €/t or 209,29 $/t


the Chicago stock Exchange after falling on the eve of the almost 2-month low on Wednesday turned up by speculators, who expect a strengthening of the commodity markets against the background of slowing the spread coronavirus around the world. Although today the Asian markets opened down on the news that the official statistics of China does not correspond to the actual situation.


Experts predict weekly export sales of old crop wheat from the United States at the level of 300-600 thousand tons.


March wheat futures in the U.S.:


1.01 $/t to 173,06 $/t for solid winter HRW wheat in Kansas city.

  • 2.02 $/t to 201,17 $/t for SRW soft winter-wheat in Chicago

Remained at the level 195,20 $/t hard spring HRS wheat in Minneapolis.


the price of Russian wheat after a tender in Egypt reached 220-222 $/t FOB.


the Beginning of the spring works in the southern regions of Russia encourages manufacturers actively sell the wheat, which leads to lower domestic prices and boost exports.


According to forecasts of the Ministry of agriculture, this year due to the warm winter field work will begin earlier many years of average time, so the manufacturers are already beginning to dismiss the vault for future harvest. According to Rosstat, in January carry-over stocks of grain were 36.4 million tons, which is 1.8% more than in January 2019.