USDA predicts that Ukraine will reduce oat and barley production in 2026/27 MY, but increase rye production

USDA experts predict that in the 2026/27 MY, grain crop production in Ukraine will decrease slightly.

Thus, a decrease in the yield of the main crops is expected compared to the previous season:

• wheat – by 1.1 million tons to 23 million tons,
• corn – by 0.9 million tons to 30 million tons,
• barley – by 0.3 million tons to 5.3 million tons,
• oats – by 20 thousand tons to 380 thousand tons.

According to the USDA forecast, barley exports will also decrease by 0.1 million tons to 2.1 million tons due to reduced export demand and limited supply on the domestic market, while oat exports will remain at the previous season's level - about 35 thousand tons.

The only crop with positive dynamics will be rye, the production of which will increase by 60 thousand tons to 270 thousand tons, and exports - by 10 thousand tons to 15 thousand tons due to the restoration of global demand for this crop.