Precipitation in the USA and South America will reduce the drought, and in Ukraine, temperatures will exceed the norm by 4-6 oC

The weather has been generally favorable for crops this week, with warmth returning to the US after a bitter cold spell and rain, albeit light, expected in Argentina. In Ukraine, dry and warm weather will allow to complete the harvesting of corn, 25% of which remains in the fields.

Climate change has become a reality today. According to a report by the World Meteorological Organization, the last eight years could be the warmest on record. Thus, the average global temperature in 2022 exceeded the average of 1850-1900 by 1.15 ^o C, which is manifested in the rapid melting of glaciers.

After anomalous 20-40 degree frosts in the Midwest and Great Plains of the USA, a warm cyclone brought abundant precipitation. They will continue next week, but in the southwestern regions of the Plains they will be insufficient to eliminate the effects of drought.

In central and northern Brazil, short showers will continue for at least another two weeks, which is typical for this time of year. This will contribute to the development of soybean and corn crops. A cold front is coming to the south of the country with heavy but short-term showers, but in the states of Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná, the precipitation deficit remains.

Argentina will see showers over the weekend, but there will be no rain next week that could ease the drought or improve conditions for soybeans and corn, which are planting 10-15% slower than average.

On the territory of Ukraine and the European part of the Russian Federation, a warm cyclone next week will raise the temperature by 5-6 degrees above normal, which will allow the harvesting of corn to be completed. In Ukraine, 25% of the corn area remains unthreshed, and in the Russian Federation - 10-15%, as well as 1 million hectares of sunflowers, so the improvement of the weather will allow part of the harvest to be harvested. There is almost no snow in the fields of Ukraine, while in the Russian Federation the snow layer is 5-20 cm, which does not allow harvesting to continue.

The condition of winter crops in Ukraine is normal, but there is a moisture deficit in the south. In the Russian Federation, a significant amount of precipitation fell in the autumn-winter period, which improves the condition of wheat crops and allows us to hope for a harvest in 2023 in the range of 85-86 million tons (105 million tons in 2022), despite the reduction of the sowing area.

Abnormal heat waves have been recorded in India since the beginning of the year, and the number of days of intense heat this year reached 203, while in 2019 there were 179. A heat wave is considered a state when the temperature is 4.5-6.4 ^o C above the average. In March-April, in the north and in the center of the country, such waves had a negative impact on winter wheat crops, which reduced the yield. In 2022, until November, the minimum temperatures exceeded the norm, although the maximum after April slightly decreased and remained within the norm.