Rainfall in the US and Canada delays harvest, but in Brazil and the Black Sea region improves conditions before sowing begins

This week, the Midwest and Plains have been experiencing hot weather with occasional showers that have caused flooding in some areas. Another heat wave and several fronts are forecast to move in over the next 5-7 days, bringing additional precipitation that will delay corn and soybean harvests and winter plantings. Unfortunately, this precipitation will not help improve late-season crop conditions, especially in the Southeast, which has remained drier, resulting in earlier-ripening crops and lower-than-expected yields. At the same time, rain continues to improve conditions for winter wheat planting, especially in areas that have been dry.

Heavy rain and sleet have hit the Canadian prairies this week, severely impacting the wheat and canola harvest. Several more fronts are forecast to pass through the region next week, bringing additional precipitation and delaying harvest, but drier weather will follow, albeit with cooler temperatures.

Southern and central Brazil will see rainfall this week and next, which will be favorable for wheat planting and the start of soybean planting. Brazil's rainy season usually begins in late September, so earlier rains will help build up moisture, which could lead to an increase in soybean plantings.

In Argentina, precipitation will be much less, and another front with limited rain and cold air flow is expected over the weekend. More precipitation is needed for the growing winter wheat crops, as well as for moisture accumulation before the start of corn planting in October.

Scattered showers have been reported across Europe this week, improving conditions for winter crop planting. Heavier rainfall is expected across the continent next week, which will slightly delay corn and soybean harvests but will generally support crop development.

Several fronts passed through the Black Sea region, but there was very little precipitation, so winter rapeseed crops in Ukraine did not receive enough moisture. However, additional rains are forecast next week, which will improve conditions for sowing winter wheat. The weather is favorable for harvesting sunflower and soybeans, and the grain does not require additional drying.

Next week, good precipitation is expected in the southwestern region of the Russian Federation, which will improve conditions for sowing winter crops, although it will delay the harvesting of late crops.

A few scattered showers are expected in parts of Australia over the next week, but overall the country remains relatively dry as winter crops are entering their reproductive stages. Wheat and canola crops are entering their reproductive stages and good rainfall is needed in the coming months, but the forecast is not promising.