Experts once again increased the forecasts of wheat production in Ukraine and Russia

2019-05-28 12:19:47
Machine translation
Experts once again increased the forecasts of wheat production in Ukraine and Russia

Thanks to favorable weather conditions, the experts of the Ukrainian grain Association has increased the forecast of wheat production in Ukraine to 26.7 million tons and exports – up to 19 million tons.


In may, Ukraine was dominated by variable weather with temperatures 2-6°C above normal, good rainfall and adequate soil moisture reserves. Rains in the East and South of the country has improved the condition of crops after the drought last month.


In some regions of Southern Russia and the Volga region, the development of crops delays the moisture deficit. Abnormalities cumulative precipitation from multi-year averages of the last month are observed in the East Central black earth region, and in some areas of the Tambov region, they reach 40-50%.


Warm and dry weather allowed us to sow in Russia, spring crops, 24.4 million hectares or 82.5% of the forecast, including wheat was 9.8 million hectares, or 80.5%. On this date last year it was planted with 21.9 million hectares, including wheat on 8 million hectares.


some experts believe that in 2019, Russia can update the record in wheat production. Now the world's largest analytical agencies give the following crop of wheat in the country in 2019/20 MG:

USDA - 77 million tons,

Agritel (EU) – 78,8 million tons,

UN FAO - 79 million tons,

the international Grains Council (IGC) – 79,5 million tons,

IKAR (Russia) - 81 million tons,

Informa (USA) - 82 million tons

Prozerno (RF) – 82.3 million tons,

SovEcon (Russia) to 83.4 million tons.

  • the Ministry of agriculture of the Russian Federation - 72-75 million tonnes,


Monday markets in the United States was not working, but Friday's price jump was the driver for the rise in price of French wheat.


  • September futures for milling wheat on MATIF rose by 4 €/t to its highest since February 15 182 €/t or 203,54 $/t


Current report on spring wheat crops in the United States will set the dynamics of wheat prices on the stock exchanges of the USA and Europe.