ABARES expects Australia's wheat, barley and canola yields to be 17% above 10-year averages in 2024/25

2024-12-05 09:47:59
ABARES expects Australia's wheat, barley and canola yields to be 17% above 10-year averages in 2024/25

The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) released new forecasts in its quarterly crop report on December 3. According to them, in 2024/25 MY, the production of winter crops in Australia will increase compared to the previous season by 16% to 55.1 million tons, despite significant differences in growing conditions in different states. And the total harvest of 2024/25 MR will exceed the average 10-year indicator (47.1 million tons) by 17% and will become the fifth largest volume of production in history.

 

Increased production in New South Wales, Queensland and Western Australia, driven by above-normal rainfall and good soil moisture, is expected to offset lower yields in south-east Australia due to prolonged drought and severe frost.

 

According to the forecast, the area of winter crops in 2024/25 MR will grow by 7% compared to the previous season to a record 24.6 million hectares, in particular in New South Wales - by 23%, in Queensland - by 36%, because in both states thanks to the favorable weather, even those areas where winter crops were not usually grown were sown.

 

Wheat production in 2024/25 MR will grow by 23% compared to the previous season to 31.9 million tons, which will exceed the 10-year average by 20%. New South Wales and Western Australia, the largest wheat producing states, will increase production by 75% and 40% respectively.

 

Barley production will grow by 8% to 11.7 million tons (3% higher than the 10-year average) due to a 6% increase in sowing area and improved yields.

 

Due to the dry weather in south-east Australia, where most of the canola crop is grown, area under canola and yields will decrease, but will still be above the 10-year average. As a result, canola production will decrease compared to the previous season by 8% to 5.6 million tons, but will exceed the 10-year average by 23%.

 

Australia is the world's largest exporter of barley and one of the largest suppliers of wheat and canola.

 

In FY 2024/25, production of summer crops, including sorghum, cotton and rice, is expected to decline by 7% to 4.4 million tonnes, 20% above the 10-year average (3.6 million tonnes), while the area under them will remain at the level of 1.3 million hectares.

Visitors’ comments (0):