What are the consequences of African swine fever: the demand for soybeans and increase the imports of meat?

In the coming years, China may dramatically increase the demand for different types of meat. Every year the country increases the consumption of calories per capita, than domestic pork production can greatly be affected by Achs through the high regional concentration of the livestock industry. AgResource estimates that if the vaccine against ASF is not found soon, China will import about 3 million tons of meat of all kinds.

This situation is associated with a high concentration of pork production, that is a threat the rapid spread of the virus in terms of what today's population in China is about 600 million heads.

This information was provided by Dan Bussey – President of AgResource (USA) during the International conference "black sea Grain-2019" April 10.

"China is an extremely concentrated place of pork production, which complicates the fight against the African plague. The disease exists since 1907, and until that time, the virus failed to win, a vaccine against ASF is still not invented. Today the number of pigs in China is about 600 million heads. However, China is expected to import about 3 million tons of meat of all kinds, not only pork will continue if the situation with the plague," said Dan Bassi.

According to him, another aspect of the implications of the spread of African swine fever in China is the demand for soybeans, a further price increase on protein.